Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation

Xing Pan; Zi Ling Xin

doi:10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation

Xing Pan
, Zi Ling Xin^*

^*此作品的通讯作者

可靠性与系统工程学院

Beihang University

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节 › 会议稿件 › 同行评审

1 引用（Scopus）

摘要

In order to analyze project failure risk, the quality factor, added on the basis of cost-time joint risk assessment, are showed by the degree of deviation and expressed by 2-norm firstly. Secondly, considering the cost-time-quality factors jointly, the joint distribution model of cost-time based on the Monte Carlo model is established; meanwhile, the definition of project failure risk value is given. Last, an example is given based on Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) to simulate and analyse project failure risk through Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS).

源语言	英语
主期刊名	19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management
主期刊副标题	Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering
出版商	Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
页	1361-1368
页数	8
ISBN（印刷版）	9783642383908
DOI	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144
出版状态	已出版 - 2013
活动	19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering - Changsha, 中国期限: 27 10月 2012 → 29 10月 2012

出版系列

姓名	19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering

会议

会议	19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering
国家/地区	中国
市	Changsha
时期	27/10/12 → 29/10/12

访问文件

10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

其它文件与链接

链接到 Scopus 的出版物

引用此

Pan, X., & Xin, Z. L. (2013). Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation. 在 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering (页码 1361-1368). (19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

Pan, Xing ; Xin, Zi Ling. / Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation. 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2013. 页码 1361-1368 (19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering).

@inproceedings{b9bed6a39df7419ba435321052ab17ab,

title = "Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation",

abstract = "In order to analyze project failure risk, the quality factor, added on the basis of cost-time joint risk assessment, are showed by the degree of deviation and expressed by 2-norm firstly. Secondly, considering the cost-time-quality factors jointly, the joint distribution model of cost-time based on the Monte Carlo model is established; meanwhile, the definition of project failure risk value is given. Last, an example is given based on Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) to simulate and analyse project failure risk through Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS).",

keywords = "Cost-time-quality, Engineering project failure risk, Monte Carlo Simulation, The degree of deviation",

author = "Xing Pan and Xin, \{Zi Ling\}",

year = "2013",

doi = "10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5\_144",

language = "英语",

isbn = "9783642383908",

series = "19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering",

publisher = "Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH",

pages = "1361--1368",

booktitle = "19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management",

address = "德国",

note = "19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering ; Conference date: 27-10-2012 Through 29-10-2012",

}

Pan, X & Xin, ZL 2013, Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation. 在 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering. 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering, Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 页码 1361-1368, 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering, Changsha, 中国, 27/10/12. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation. / Pan, Xing; Xin, Zi Ling.
19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, 2013. 页码 1361-1368 (19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering).

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节 › 会议稿件 › 同行评审

TY - GEN

T1 - Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation

AU - Pan, Xing

AU - Xin, Zi Ling

PY - 2013

Y1 - 2013

N2 - In order to analyze project failure risk, the quality factor, added on the basis of cost-time joint risk assessment, are showed by the degree of deviation and expressed by 2-norm firstly. Secondly, considering the cost-time-quality factors jointly, the joint distribution model of cost-time based on the Monte Carlo model is established; meanwhile, the definition of project failure risk value is given. Last, an example is given based on Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) to simulate and analyse project failure risk through Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS).

AB - In order to analyze project failure risk, the quality factor, added on the basis of cost-time joint risk assessment, are showed by the degree of deviation and expressed by 2-norm firstly. Secondly, considering the cost-time-quality factors jointly, the joint distribution model of cost-time based on the Monte Carlo model is established; meanwhile, the definition of project failure risk value is given. Last, an example is given based on Program Evaluation Review Technique (PERT) to simulate and analyse project failure risk through Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS).

KW - Cost-time-quality

KW - Engineering project failure risk

KW - Monte Carlo Simulation

KW - The degree of deviation

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84891508480

U2 - 10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

DO - 10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

M3 - 会议稿件

AN - SCOPUS:84891508480

SN - 9783642383908

T3 - 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering

SP - 1361

EP - 1368

BT - 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management

PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH

T2 - 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering

Y2 - 27 October 2012 through 29 October 2012

ER -

Pan X, Xin ZL. Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation. 在 19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH. 2013. 页码 1361-1368. (19th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management: Assistive Technology of Industrial Engineering). doi: 10.1007/978-3-642-38391-5_144

Study of cost-time-quality in project failure risk assessment based on monte carlo simulation

摘要

出版系列

会议

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其它文件与链接

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引用此