Structural Online Damage Identification and Dynamic Reliability Prediction Method Based on Unscented Kalman Filter

As sensor monitoring technology continues to evolve, structural online monitoring and health management have found numerous applications across various fields. However, challenges remain concerning the real-time diagnosis of structural damage and the accuracy of dynamic reliability predictions. In this paper, a structural online damage identification and dynamic reliability prediction method based on Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) is presented. Specifically, in the Wiener degradation process with random effects on structural performance, the structural damage identification is initially realized using UKF. Following that, the EM algorithm is employed for estimating the performance model parameters. Eventually, dynamic reliability prediction is realized based on conditional probability. The simulation results indicate that the method effectively estimates the damage state during the structure’s use while providing accurate, real-time, and dynamic reliability predictions for the system.