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Schedule and cost integrated estimation for complex product modeling based on Weibull distribution

  • Tsinghua University

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

Schedule and cost factors are largely related to the successful performance of a complex product manufacturing or acquisitions processes. Nonetheless, traditional statistics methods cannot effectively meet the requirement of the complex product management. In this paper, the Weibull distribution with modified least squares estimation (LSE) method is utilized to estimate the integration of schedule and cost. Firstly, the explanation of 3-parameter Weibull probability distribution function for estimation the integrated schedule and cost is demonstrated. In addition, the multi-peaks Weibull distribution is proposed for large complex product modeling consisted of several subsystems. Moreover, a modified LSE method for Weibull parametric analysis is proposed reflecting the latest schedule-cost integration status where the old data will be forgotten with the data accumulation, instead of treating all the data equally. Last but not least, the comparison with other statistics methods demonstrates the effectiveness of method in this research. The illustration using complex system samples also shows that the estimation of schedule and cost integrated based on multi-peaks Weibull distribution is viable and efficient.

源语言英语
主期刊名Proceedings of the 2015 IEEE 19th International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design, CSCWD 2015
编辑Antonio Guerrieri, Wenfeng Li, Jean-Paul Barthes, Weiming Shen, Sergio Ochoa, Giancarlo Fortino, Milton Ramos, Marie-Helene Abel, Junzhou Luo
出版商Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
276-280
页数5
ISBN(电子版)9781479920020
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 31 8月 2015
已对外发布
活动19th IEEE International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design, CSCWD 2015 - Calabria, 意大利
期限: 6 5月 20158 5月 2015

出版系列

姓名Proceedings of the 2015 IEEE 19th International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design, CSCWD 2015

会议

会议19th IEEE International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design, CSCWD 2015
国家/地区意大利
Calabria
时期6/05/158/05/15

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