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Research on bayesian reliability growth evaluation method for mechanical products

  • Beihang University
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

The probability of failure of mechanical products often conforms to the Weibull distribution. If the Weibull distribution is used to construct the likelihood function, the Bayesian method is used to estimate the reliability, which involves a large number of integral operations and is not easy to select the appropriate prior distribution. In order to reduce the computational workload and improve the efficiency of the evaluation, based on the mature exponential distribution Bayesian method, this paper transformed the Weibull distribution into exponential distribution and chose the obverse-Gamma distribution as the prior distribution. Through a series of derivation and calculation, we obtain the Weibull distribution Life parameter estimation, and finally gives the corresponding examples to verify the feasibility of the method.

源语言英语
主期刊名Safety and Reliability - Safe Societies in a Changing World - Proceedings of the 28th International European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2018
编辑Coen van Gulijk, Stein Haugen, Anne Barros, Jan Erik Vinnem, Trond Kongsvik
出版商CRC Press/Balkema
789-792
页数4
ISBN(印刷版)9780815386827
出版状态已出版 - 2018
活动28th International European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2018 - Trondheim, 挪威
期限: 17 6月 201821 6月 2018

出版系列

姓名Safety and Reliability - Safe Societies in a Changing World - Proceedings of the 28th International European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2018

会议

会议28th International European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2018
国家/地区挪威
Trondheim
时期17/06/1821/06/18

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