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Online prediction of electrical load for distributed management of PEV based on Grey-Markov model

  • Beihang University

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

In order to improve the prediction accuracy of distributed management of Plug-in Electric Vehicles (PEV) to the change of the future electrical load, we proposed an improved algorithm which based on Grey-Markov model. This method makes full use of the advantages of grey model and Markov chain model, where, the grey model is used to reveal the total trend and principle of object change while the Markov chain model is used to indicate the objective random fluctuation and then determine the disturbance rule. The prediction model can be established according to the real value which obtained by distributed management system, then comparison of the model predictions with the improved and traditional prediction algorithms. the results show that improved algorithm is better than traditional prediction algorithm.

源语言英语
主期刊名Proceedings of the 29th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2017
出版商Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
6911-6916
页数6
ISBN(电子版)9781509046560
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 12 7月 2017
活动29th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2017 - Chongqing, 中国
期限: 28 5月 201730 5月 2017

出版系列

姓名Proceedings of the 29th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2017

会议

会议29th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2017
国家/地区中国
Chongqing
时期28/05/1730/05/17

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