TY - JOUR
T1 - Normal mixture method for stock daily returns over different sub-periods
AU - Han, Liyan
AU - Yan, Hanhuan
AU - Zheng, Chengli
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2017, © 2017 Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
PY - 2019/2/7
Y1 - 2019/2/7
N2 - In this paper, the normal mixture model, as an alternative distribution, is utilized to represent the characteristics of stock daily returns over different bull and bear markets. Firstly, we conduct the normality test for the return data and compare the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics of normal mixture models with different components. Secondly, we analyze the likely reasons why parameters change over different sub-periods. Our empirical examination proves that majority of the data series reject the normality assumption and mixture models with three components can model the behavior of daily returns more appropriately and steadily. This result has both statistical and economic significance.
AB - In this paper, the normal mixture model, as an alternative distribution, is utilized to represent the characteristics of stock daily returns over different bull and bear markets. Firstly, we conduct the normality test for the return data and compare the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics of normal mixture models with different components. Secondly, we analyze the likely reasons why parameters change over different sub-periods. Our empirical examination proves that majority of the data series reject the normality assumption and mixture models with three components can model the behavior of daily returns more appropriately and steadily. This result has both statistical and economic significance.
KW - Bull and bear markets
KW - Different components
KW - Normal mixture model
KW - Stock daily returns
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85043389228
U2 - 10.1080/03610918.2017.1383423
DO - 10.1080/03610918.2017.1383423
M3 - 文章
AN - SCOPUS:85043389228
SN - 0361-0918
VL - 48
SP - 447
EP - 457
JO - Communications in Statistics Part B: Simulation and Computation
JF - Communications in Statistics Part B: Simulation and Computation
IS - 2
ER -