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High and Low Prices Prediction of Soybean Futures with LSTM Neural Network

  • Beihang University

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

The prediction of futures prices is a great challenge. On the other hand, it can bring investors great profits. Most researches just show the predictions of closing prices but we can also predict high and low prices. The high and low prices have lower noises than closing prices, making it easier to predict them and to use them for making profitable strategies. In this paper, we build a model to predict high and low prices of soybean futures with the LSTM neural network using the dataset from the Dalian Commodity Exchange. Then we use mean absolute error (MAE) and trend accuracy to evaluate the performance of this model. For comparison, we predict the closing price using the LSTM neural network and build another prediction model based on the BP neural network. Results show that we get higher accuracy predicting the trends of high and low prices. Also, the prediction model based on the LSTM neural network performs better and it gets more than 80% of the accuracy in trend estimation when the predicting high prices or low prices have high volatilities.

源语言英语
主期刊名ICSESS 2018 - Proceedings of 2018 IEEE 9th International Conference on Software Engineering and Service Science
编辑Li Wenzheng, M. Surendra Prasad Babu
出版商IEEE Computer Society
140-143
页数4
ISBN(电子版)9781538665640
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 2 7月 2018
活动9th IEEE International Conference on Software Engineering and Service Science, ICSESS 2018 - Beijing, 中国
期限: 23 11月 201825 11月 2018

出版系列

姓名Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Software Engineering and Service Sciences, ICSESS
2018-November
ISSN(印刷版)2327-0586
ISSN(电子版)2327-0594

会议

会议9th IEEE International Conference on Software Engineering and Service Science, ICSESS 2018
国家/地区中国
Beijing
时期23/11/1825/11/18

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