A computational method for finding the availability of opportunistically maintained multi-state systems with non-exponential distributions

Availability is one of the most important performance measures of a repairable system. Among various mathematical methods, the method of supplementary variables is an effective way of modeling the steady-state availability of systems governed by non-exponential distributions. However, when all the underlying probability distributions are non-exponential (e.g., Weibull), the corresponding state equations are difficult to solve. To overcome this challenge, a new method is proposed in this article to determine the steady-state availability of a multi-state repairable system, where all the state sojourn times, as well as the maintenance times, are generally distributed. As an indispensable step, the well-posedness and stability of the system’s state equations are illustrated and proved using C₀ operator semigroup theory. Afterwards, based on the generalized Integral Mean Value Theorem, the expression for system steady-state availability is derived as a function of state probabilities. Then, the original problem is transformed into a system of linear equations that can be easily solved. A simulation study and an instance studied in the literature are used to demonstrate the applications of the proposed method in practice. These numerical examples illustrate that the proposed method provides a new computational tool for effectively evaluating the availability of a repairable system without relying on simulation.