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A Calendar Life Assessment of Airborne Products Considering Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainty

  • Beihang University
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology

科研成果: 书/报告/会议事项章节会议稿件同行评审

摘要

Aiming at providing more accurate information for the first restoration, overhaul and maintenance of airborne products, this paper gives a calendar life assessment method for airborne products considering epistemic and aleatory uncertainty on the basis of investigation and analysis for the factors which affect the uncertainty of calendar life assessment. The uncertainty of calendar life is modeled as two types: epistemic uncertainty and aleatory uncertainty. a aleatory uncertainty model of calendar life based on interval analysis and blind number theory is given with parameter sensitivity analysis. Considering the designer's problem of incomplete cognition of failure mechanism, a measurement method of epistemic uncertainty is given based on the concept of confidence reliability.

源语言英语
主期刊名Proceedings - 12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018
出版商Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
383-389
页数7
ISBN(电子版)9781538670767
DOI
出版状态已出版 - 2 7月 2018
活动12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018 - Shanghai, 中国
期限: 17 10月 201819 10月 2018

出版系列

姓名Proceedings - 12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018

会议

会议12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018
国家/地区中国
Shanghai
时期17/10/1819/10/18

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