基于Sobol敏感性分析的装备体系保障效能评估

Modern warfare tends to the confront between system of systems (SoS), and the support capability of the equipment SoS has become the key to affect the combat capability of equipment SoS. In order to measure the effect of equipment system support quantitatively, it is necessary to evaluate the effectiveness of equipment SoS support scientifically. Firstly, the support capability of the equipment SoS is analyzed, and the effectiveness index of the equipment SoS is obtained. Secondly, based on the Sobol sensitivity analysis method, the availability of the equipment system is analyzed, and the importance of the support capability index of the equipment SoS is obtained. Thirdly, the effectiveness evaluation method of the equipment SoS support with the power index method based on Sobol sensitivity analysis is proposed. Finally, the multi-agent simulation method is used to evaluate the support effectiveness of an equipment SoS, and the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified.