可靠性系统工程理论研究回顾与展望

The reliability systems engineering theory is a major theoretical and practical innovation in the field of reliability in China at the end of the 20th century. After over 30 years of development, it has been significantly refined and gradually become an important fundamental theory in the development of reliability technology and practice. This paper systematically reviews the existing reliability systems engineering theories, methods and techniques, and provides research foresight and future prospects for the development of theories and construction of new disciplines. Firstly, the origin and basic concepts of reliability systems engineering theories are reviewed, and the research methods of reliability systems engineering are introduced. Secondly, the technical framework and comprehensive integration system of reliability systems engineering are summarized, and the development process of reliability systems engineering is presented. On this basis, the latest reliability science achievement of the belief reliability theory is briefly introduced from the perspective of the evolution of reliability systems engineering to reliability systems science, and the validity of reliability science is analyzed philosophically. Finally, the development prospects of reliability systems engineering theory is proposed, and the bright vision of the new discipline of reliability systems science and engineering is foreseen.