What affects inflation expectations? Evidence from the Sticky Information Phillips Curve

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Using data of Consumers Saving Survey, this paper investigates the macro and micro factors of inflation expectations in China within the framework of the Sticky Information Phillips Curve (SIPC). The results reveal that the inflation, exchange rate, media coverage, the inflation perception, interest rate, financial markets, and the imported inflation cause the inflation expectation statistically. Furthermore, the real inflation and media coverage raise inflation expectations immediately, and the inflation expectation raises output gap, the inflation perception, and interest rate. Research results shed some light on the management of inflation expectations.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 28th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2016
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages196-201
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781467397148
DOIs
StatePublished - 3 Aug 2016
Event28th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2016 - Yinchuan, China
Duration: 28 May 201630 May 2016

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 28th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2016

Conference

Conference28th Chinese Control and Decision Conference, CCDC 2016
Country/TerritoryChina
CityYinchuan
Period28/05/1630/05/16

Keywords

  • Inflation Expectation
  • Inflation Perception
  • Media Coverage
  • Sticky Information Phillips Curve

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