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The Apophis Encounter in 2029: A Rare Opportunity for Planetary Science and Defense

  • Jianyang Li*
  • , Yang Yu
  • , Xian Shi
  • , Bin Cheng
  • , Nan Zhang
  • , Zhijun Song
  • , Liping Qin
  • , Hairong Lai
  • , Mingtao Li
  • , Mao Ye
  • , Gonzalo Tancredi
  • , Daniel Hestroffer
  • , Benjamin F. Chao
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Sun Yat-Sen University
  • CAS - National Astronomical Observatories
  • CAS - Shanghai Astronomical Observatory
  • Beihang University
  • University of Science and Technology of China
  • CAS - National Space Science Center
  • Wuhan University
  • Facultad de Ciencias
  • Observatoire de Paris
  • Shandong University of Science and Technology

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review article › peer-review

Abstract

The 2029 close encounter of near-Earth asteroid (99942) Apophis, at approximately 38,000 km from Earth center, offers a unique opportunity to advance planetary science, defense, and public engagement. This rare event enables real-time observations of tidal effects, surface displacement, spin changes, and dust ejection, deepening our understanding of rubble-pile asteroids and improving models of their evolution. Detailed data will refine predictions of the Yarkovsky and YORP effects, enhancing asteroid dynamics research. From a planetary defense perspective, Apophis provides a critical test case for impact risk assessment and mitigation strategies, informing rapid-response reconnaissance missions. Public outreach during the event will raise awareness of asteroid science and planetary safety, fostering interest in space exploration. International collaborations, including NASA’s OSIRIS-APEX and ESA’s RAMSES missions, along with the potential contributions from China, aim to maximize scientific returns, making the 2029 Apophis flyby a milestone in global planetary exploration and defense efforts.

Original languageEnglish
Article number0505
JournalSpace: Science and Technology (United States)
Volume6
DOIs
StatePublished - 2026

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