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Synergies of reducing greenhouse gases and atmospheric nitrogen pollutants in China

  • Xin Xu
  • , Xiuming Zhang
  • , Shaohui Zhang
  • , Wilfried Winiwarter
  • , Jiayu Xu
  • , Lin Zhang
  • , Chen Wang
  • , Baojing Gu*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Zhejiang University
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg
  • University of Zielona Gora
  • Peking University

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Climate change and environmental degradation driven by greenhouse gases (GHGs) and reactive nitrogen (Nr) emissions are intensifying globally. As a major emitter of both, China faces double pressures of GHGs and Nr mitigation to achieve carbon neutrality and sustainability. Here, we employ a multi-model framework to quantify the potential and synergies of reducing GHG (CO2, CH4, and N2O) and atmospheric Nr pollutants (NOx and NH3). Our results indicate that, by 2050, a strong co-control solution could reduce China’s GHG emissions by 88% (80%–101%) and atmospheric Nr pollutants by 67% (50%–80%), delivering societal benefits of US$959 (US$499–US$1,419) billion, five times the implementation costs. Meanwhile, the agriculture sector will emerge as a key contributor to mitigation efforts, particularly after 2030, with its integrated abatement potential surpassing that of industry while offering superior cost-effectiveness. These findings underscore the critical need to dynamically shift mitigation priorities post-carbon peak to boost zero carbon and clean air in China.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101433
JournalInnovation
DOIs
StateAccepted/In press - 2026
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • Geoscience
  • atmospheric nitrogen pollutant
  • cost-benefit analysis
  • greenhouse gas
  • mitigation
  • synergy

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