Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China

Zhudan Pang; Zhao Zhang; Chuanqi Zhu; Jinghua Wang

doi:10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404

Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China

Zhudan Pang
, Zhao Zhang^*
, Chuanqi Zhu
, Jinghua Wang

^*Corresponding author for this work

School of Transportation Science and Engineering

Chengdu University of Technology
Sun Yat-Sen University
Beihang University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an “unreasonable” surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the “spill-over” effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the “spill-over” effect of the travel ban policy, government authorities should design redundancy polity to simultaneously implement a travel ban for the pandemic center city and its neighboring cities to restrain human movement and pandemic transmission.

Original language	English
Article number	103404
Journal	Cities
Volume	120
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404
State	Published - Jan 2022

Keywords

COVID-19
Population flow
Spill-over effect
Wuhan travel ban

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10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404

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title = "Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China",

abstract = "This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an {\textquotedblleft}unreasonable{\textquotedblright} surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the {\textquotedblleft}spill-over{\textquotedblright} effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the {\textquotedblleft}spill-over{\textquotedblright} effect of the travel ban policy, government authorities should design redundancy polity to simultaneously implement a travel ban for the pandemic center city and its neighboring cities to restrain human movement and pandemic transmission.",

keywords = "COVID-19, Population flow, Spill-over effect, Wuhan travel ban",

author = "Zhudan Pang and Zhao Zhang and Chuanqi Zhu and Jinghua Wang",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021 Elsevier Ltd",

year = "2022",

month = jan,

doi = "10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404",

language = "英语",

volume = "120",

journal = "Cities",

issn = "0264-2751",

publisher = "Elsevier Ltd",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China

AU - Pang, Zhudan

AU - Zhang, Zhao

AU - Zhu, Chuanqi

AU - Wang, Jinghua

PY - 2022/1

Y1 - 2022/1

N2 - This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an “unreasonable” surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the “spill-over” effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the “spill-over” effect of the travel ban policy, government authorities should design redundancy polity to simultaneously implement a travel ban for the pandemic center city and its neighboring cities to restrain human movement and pandemic transmission.

AB - This paper investigates the imppact of COVID-19 travel restrictions on population flow in the People's Republic of China. We discover an “unreasonable” surge in population flow after the Wuhan travel ban. We further find out that such a sure of population flow is attributed to the “spill-over” effect of the Wuhan travel ban. We utilize a logistic regression model to quantify that the spill-over effect linearly decays with the travel distance to the Pandemic center city. Because of the “spill-over” effect of the travel ban policy, government authorities should design redundancy polity to simultaneously implement a travel ban for the pandemic center city and its neighboring cities to restrain human movement and pandemic transmission.

KW - COVID-19

KW - Population flow

KW - Spill-over effect

KW - Wuhan travel ban

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85120484598

U2 - 10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404

DO - 10.1016/j.cities.2021.103404

M3 - 文章

AN - SCOPUS:85120484598

SN - 0264-2751

VL - 120

JO - Cities

JF - Cities

M1 - 103404

ER -

Spill-over effect of Wuhan travel ban on population flow in the outbreak stage of COVID-19 in China

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Keywords

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