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Reliability prediction method with field environment variation

  • Beihang University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

This paper presents a novel method of field reliability prediction considering environment variation and product individual dispersion. Wiener diffusion process with drift was used for degradation modeling and a link function which presents degradation rate is introduced to model the impact of varied environment and individual dispersion. Gamma, transformed-Gamma (T-Gamma) and Normal distribution with different parameters are employed to model right-skewed, left-skewed and symmetric stress distribution in the study case. Results show obvious difference in reliability, failure intensity and failure rate compared to constant stress situation and each other. It indicates that properly modeled (proper distribution type and parameters) environmental stress is the fundamental of varied environment oriented reliability prediction. In a linear drift degradation process and Arrhenius-typ e link function situation, it is reasonable not concerning about product individual dispersion because the impact is barely small, while other situations can be studied in the same way proposed in this present paper.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationRAMS 2015 - 61st Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, Proceedings and Tutorials 2015
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781479967025
DOIs
StatePublished - 8 May 2015
Event61st Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, RAMS 2015 - Palm Harbor, United States
Duration: 26 Jan 201529 Jan 2015

Publication series

NameProceedings - Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium
Volume2015-May
ISSN (Print)0149-144X

Conference

Conference61st Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, RAMS 2015
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityPalm Harbor
Period26/01/1529/01/15

Keywords

  • degradation
  • distribution type and parameters
  • field reliability
  • individual dispersion
  • varied environment

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