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Reliability evaluation for distribution system based on probabilistic model checking

  • Beihang University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

In order to solve the problem of reliability evaluation for the distribution system, this paper proposes a reliability evaluation method based on the probabilistic model checking. Firstly, the running states of evaluation object are considered, including normal state and fault state. Markov model is established to describe the system's state based on the states of transmission lines and distribution system, and transition probability between states can be obtained through the historical running data. Then, the hierarchical analysis method can be applied to analyze the influence on the load point made by the status of each element. The fault set of the load point to be evaluated is represented by the status of each element. In addition, the Markov chain to be established is expressed by probabilistic model checking tool and the reliability indexes are expressed by property specification. The reliability indexes can be obtained through verifying the property specification. Finally, a typical radiant power distribution system is proposed as an instance to verify the effectiveness of the method.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2017 2nd International Conference on Reliability Systems Engineering, ICRSE 2017
EditorsDongming Fan, Jun Yang, Ziyao Wang, Tingdi Zhao
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ISBN (Electronic)9781538609187
DOIs
StatePublished - 8 Sep 2017
Event2nd International Conference on Reliability Systems Engineering, ICRSE 2017 - Huairou, Beijing, China
Duration: 10 Jul 201712 Jul 2017

Publication series

Name2017 2nd International Conference on Reliability Systems Engineering, ICRSE 2017

Conference

Conference2nd International Conference on Reliability Systems Engineering, ICRSE 2017
Country/TerritoryChina
CityHuairou, Beijing
Period10/07/1712/07/17

Keywords

  • Markov chain
  • distribution system
  • probabilistic model checking
  • reliability evaluation

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