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Prediction accuracy improvement of avoidance driving behavior model based on game theory: Introducing jerk to refine acceleration

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Understanding avoidance driving behaviors is important for both drivers and traffic managers owing to the high correlation between accidents and human driving behaviors. The most recent research in this area considers acceleration as the implement of decision result, which may cause inaccurate prediction results as acceleration changes continuously. To solve this problem, this study considers the acceleration as a continuously changing variable and utilizes jerk, the change rate of acceleration/deceleration to quantify the change of acceleration. We further applied the jerks in a game theory vehicle avoidance model. This method analyzes driving behaviors in a more detailed magnitude and finally improves the model results. Finally, a case study shows that this work improves the prediction accuracy of the driving behavior model compared to previous research.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationCICTP 2019
Subtitle of host publicationTransportation in China - Connecting the World - Proceedings of the 19th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals
EditorsLei Zhang, Jianming Ma, Pan Liu, Guangjun Zhang
PublisherAmerican Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE)
Pages558-567
Number of pages10
ISBN (Electronic)9780784482292
DOIs
StatePublished - 2019
Event19th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals: Transportation in China - Connecting the World, CICTP 2019 - Nanjing, China
Duration: 6 Jul 20198 Jul 2019

Publication series

NameCICTP 2019: Transportation in China - Connecting the World - Proceedings of the 19th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals

Conference

Conference19th COTA International Conference of Transportation Professionals: Transportation in China - Connecting the World, CICTP 2019
Country/TerritoryChina
CityNanjing
Period6/07/198/07/19

Keywords

  • Avoidance behavior
  • Decision model
  • Jerk
  • Traffic conflict

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