Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model

Arnab Rai Choudhuri; Piyali Chatterjee; Jie Jiang

doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103

Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model

Arnab Rai Choudhuri^*
, Piyali Chatterjee
, Jie Jiang

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

288 Scopus citations

Abstract

Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.

Original language	English
Article number	131103
Journal	Physical Review Letters
Volume	98
Issue number	13
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103
State	Published - 29 Mar 2007
Externally published	Yes

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10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103

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@article{56f9bd52dee444e3babd0c3892bc399e,

title = "Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model",

abstract = "Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by {"}feeding{"} observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35\% weaker than cycle 23.",

author = "Choudhuri, \{Arnab Rai\} and Piyali Chatterjee and Jie Jiang",

year = "2007",

month = mar,

day = "29",

doi = "10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103",

language = "英语",

volume = "98",

journal = "Physical Review Letters",

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T1 - Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model

AU - Choudhuri, Arnab Rai

AU - Chatterjee, Piyali

AU - Jiang, Jie

PY - 2007/3/29

Y1 - 2007/3/29

N2 - Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.

AB - Whether or not the upcoming cycle 24 of solar activity will be strong is being hotly debated. The solar cycle is produced by a complex dynamo mechanism. We model the last few solar cycles by "feeding" observational data of the Sun's polar magnetic field into our solar dynamo model. Our results fit the observed sunspot numbers of cycles 21-23 reasonably well and predict that cycle 24 will be about 35% weaker than cycle 23.

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/34047117230

U2 - 10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103

DO - 10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.131103

M3 - 文章

AN - SCOPUS:34047117230

SN - 0031-9007

VL - 98

JO - Physical Review Letters

JF - Physical Review Letters

IS - 13

M1 - 131103

ER -

Predicting solar cycle 24 with a solar dynamo model

Abstract

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