Popularity prediction of burst event in microblogging

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Every day, thousands of burst events are generated in microblogging first, and then affect the public opinion to a large degree. Thus, it is quite necessary to find out "how hot the burst event will be in the future". In this paper, we propose a prediction model which combines the analysis of event content and users' interest to predict the volume of the burst event in the implicit network. Particularly, it is assumed that different user has different influence power and different interest in the burst event. The popularity of an event depends on the volumes produced by the users infected in the past and its historical popularity. Experimental results show the superior performance of our approach.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationWeb-Age Information Management - 15th International Conference, WAIM 2014, Proceedings
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages484-487
Number of pages4
ISBN (Print)9783319080093
DOIs
StatePublished - 2014
Event15th International Conference on Web-Age Information Management, WAIM 2014 - Macau, China
Duration: 16 Jun 201418 Jun 2014

Publication series

NameLecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
Volume8485 LNCS
ISSN (Print)0302-9743
ISSN (Electronic)1611-3349

Conference

Conference15th International Conference on Web-Age Information Management, WAIM 2014
Country/TerritoryChina
CityMacau
Period16/06/1418/06/14

Keywords

  • Burst event
  • Event detection
  • Event popularity
  • Information spread

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