TY - GEN
T1 - NuPreX
T2 - 21st International Conference on Intelligent Computing, ICIC 2025
AU - Tan, Huobin
AU - Chen, Xuan
AU - Li, Wanting
AU - Dong, Biao
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2025.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - In the operation of nuclear steam supply systems (NSSS), operators must thoroughly assess potential future conditions before performing any manual control. In recent years, rapid advances in time series algorithms have provided richer tools for predicting trends in nuclear power plants. NSSS data is characterized by high dimensionality, multiple periodicities, and low variance. While existing models perform well on various tasks, However, in scenarios characterized by varying degrees of coupling, multiple periodic patterns, and low-rank structures, achieving satisfactory prediction performance still faces numerous challenges. The main issues include the introduction of excessive noise due to complex coupling, difficulty in effectively extracting multi-periodic patterns, and the amplification of minor errors over long time series, which can lead to significant prediction deviations. For these issues, first, divide the feature data based on the degree of coupling and apply different embedding methods to different types of data. Then, for the high-coupling features, use multi-time-step embedding to extract information from different cycles, while applying variable-level embedding to low-coupling data. Additionally, fuse data of different coupling degrees through global tokens. Finally, use a non-autoregressive decoder to reduce error accumulation. Experimental results show that NuPreX performs well on the NSSS dataset, accurately predicting key parameter trends and contributing to the safer operation of nuclear power plants.
AB - In the operation of nuclear steam supply systems (NSSS), operators must thoroughly assess potential future conditions before performing any manual control. In recent years, rapid advances in time series algorithms have provided richer tools for predicting trends in nuclear power plants. NSSS data is characterized by high dimensionality, multiple periodicities, and low variance. While existing models perform well on various tasks, However, in scenarios characterized by varying degrees of coupling, multiple periodic patterns, and low-rank structures, achieving satisfactory prediction performance still faces numerous challenges. The main issues include the introduction of excessive noise due to complex coupling, difficulty in effectively extracting multi-periodic patterns, and the amplification of minor errors over long time series, which can lead to significant prediction deviations. For these issues, first, divide the feature data based on the degree of coupling and apply different embedding methods to different types of data. Then, for the high-coupling features, use multi-time-step embedding to extract information from different cycles, while applying variable-level embedding to low-coupling data. Additionally, fuse data of different coupling degrees through global tokens. Finally, use a non-autoregressive decoder to reduce error accumulation. Experimental results show that NuPreX performs well on the NSSS dataset, accurately predicting key parameter trends and contributing to the safer operation of nuclear power plants.
KW - NSSS
KW - Times Series Forecasting
KW - Transformer
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105012426136
U2 - 10.1007/978-981-96-9875-2_32
DO - 10.1007/978-981-96-9875-2_32
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:105012426136
SN - 9789819698745
T3 - Lecture Notes in Computer Science
SP - 378
EP - 390
BT - Advanced Intelligent Computing Technology and Applications - 21st International Conference, ICIC 2025, Proceedings
A2 - Huang, De-Shuang
A2 - Pan, Yijie
A2 - Chen, Wei
A2 - Li, Bo
PB - Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Y2 - 26 July 2025 through 29 July 2025
ER -