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Non-stationary financial time series forecasting based on meta-learning

  • Anqi Hong
  • , Minghan Gao
  • , Qiang Gao*
  • , Xiao Hong Peng
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beihang University
  • Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
  • Birmingham City University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

In this letter, the authors address the challenge in forecasting non-stationary financial time series by proposing a meta-learning based forecasting model equipped with a convolution neural network (CNN) predictor and a long short-term memory (LSTM) meta-learner. The model is applied to a set of short subseries which are the result of dividing a long non-stationary financial time series. As a result, a promising performance can be achieved by the proposed model in terms of making more accurate prediction than the traditional CNN predictor and auto regressive (AR)-based forecasting models in non-stationary conditions.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere12681
JournalElectronics Letters
Volume59
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2023

Keywords

  • convolutional neural nets
  • economic forecasting
  • learning (artificial intelligence)
  • neural nets
  • time series

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