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Multi-stage evaluation of R&D IT projects - Based on compound options

  • X. Y. Liu*
  • , W. G. Fang
  • , F. J. Wei
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beihang University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Considering the characteristics of IT R&D, this paper introduced the concept of compound options into the evaluation of IT R&D investment, and proposed a compound options approach to evaluate multi-stage investment. This paper divided R&D project into three stages, including pre-experiment, large-scale research and commercialization. The options comprised in these three stages were viewed as compound options to be priced and evaluated. Referring to different features of these three stages, three approaches, i.e., binomial decision tree of single option, binomial decision tree of multi-stage options, and modified B-S model with a risk-averting investor, were set up to evaluate the values of these three stages respectively. Moreover, a systematic pricing model which is easy to operate on practical evaluation of IT R&D investment options was discussed. Finally an example of the value evaluation for an IT R&D investment project was given to demonstrate the application.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationFrontiers in Enterprise Integration Xian International Symposium, IFISF and IFIP TC 8.9 International Conference on Research and Practical Issues of Enterprise Information Systems, CONFENIS 2007
Pages413-419
Number of pages7
StatePublished - 2008
Event1st International Forum of Information Systems Frontiers, IFISF and 2nd IFIP TC8.9 International Conference on Research and Practical Issues of Enterprise Information Systems, CONFENIS 2007 - Beijing, China
Duration: 14 Oct 200716 Oct 2007

Publication series

NameFrontiers in Enterprise Integration Xian International Symposium, IFISF and IFIP TC 8.9 International Conference on Research and Practical Issues of Enterprise Information Systems, CONFENIS 2007

Conference

Conference1st International Forum of Information Systems Frontiers, IFISF and 2nd IFIP TC8.9 International Conference on Research and Practical Issues of Enterprise Information Systems, CONFENIS 2007
Country/TerritoryChina
CityBeijing
Period14/10/0716/10/07

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 9 - Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
    SDG 9 Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure

Keywords

  • Binomial tree
  • Compound options
  • IT
  • Multi-stage evaluation
  • R&D
  • Real options

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