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Modeling on interest rate behavior of RMB: Comparative research based on vasicek, CIR and CKLS model

  • Beihang University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Under the background of the marketization of RMB's interest rate, the capacity to capture the change of interest rate will be the core ability of financial institutions. After comparing the features of classic single factor interest rate models, Vasicek, CIR and CKLS model, this paper processes the three continuous time differential equations into discrete forms by Euler equation. The authors respectively compile SAS programs of LS and GMM for these three interest rate model, and obtain their parameter values, by taking 1271 daily closing quotation data of the Chinese inter-bank collateralised repo rate within 7 days (R007). The empirical results show that the Vasicek and CIR models are much more suitable to explain the behavior of RMB's interest rate, other than the CKLS model, which is the most complicated model within the three interest rate models. Furthermore, the explanation power of CIR model for RMB's interest rate is the strongest in our studies.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Automation and Logistics, ICAL 2008
Pages2941-2945
Number of pages5
DOIs
StatePublished - 2008
EventIEEE International Conference on Automation and Logistics, ICAL 2008 - Qingdao, China
Duration: 1 Sep 20083 Sep 2008

Publication series

NameProceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Automation and Logistics, ICAL 2008

Conference

ConferenceIEEE International Conference on Automation and Logistics, ICAL 2008
Country/TerritoryChina
CityQingdao
Period1/09/083/09/08

Keywords

  • Discrete form
  • Generalized moment method
  • Interest rate of RMB
  • Single factor model

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