Method for dynamic risk evaluation based on language information

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

For input information of project risk assessment is only limited to expert language information, the concepts of risk present value and risk trends are proposed to process the dynamic risk issue caused by uncertainty according to the time dimension. Time variable is introduced into project risk assessment, considering risk event expected time of occurrence, duration, and distribution. Dynamic risk ranking and risk trends are rationally assessed based on the time variable. Finally, the effectiveness of the method and the rationality of the evaluation result are proved by a practical example.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2456-2460
Number of pages5
JournalXi Tong Gong Cheng Yu Dian Zi Ji Shu/Systems Engineering and Electronics
Volume36
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Dec 2014

Keywords

  • Risk assessment
  • Risk present value
  • Risk trends
  • Time variable

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