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Measuring the risk of Chinese Fintech industry: evidence from the stock index

  • Yinhong Yao
  • , Jianping Li
  • , Xiaolei Sun*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • CAS - Institutes of Science and Development
  • University of Chinese Academy of Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This study measures the risk of the emerging Fintech industry in China and identifies its influencing risk factors by calculating the tail risk of Fintech stock index. The expectile regression model that includes the lagged returns and macroeconomic risk factors is used to calculate the Expectile Value-at-Risk (EVaR). Based on the 1230 daily returns of Fintech index ranges from July 2, 2014, to September 10, 2019, the empirical results indicate that the Fintech industry possesses a higher risk, and is affected by both the past development and internal macroeconomic condition.

Original languageEnglish
Article number101564
JournalFinance Research Letters
Volume39
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Expected shortfall (ES)
  • Expectile regression model
  • Expectile Value at Risk (EVaR)
  • Financial Technology (Fintech)
  • Tail risk

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