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Interval Construction and Optimization for Mechanical Property Forecasting with Improved Neural Networks

  • Tingyu Xie
  • , Gongzhuang Peng
  • , Hongwei Wang*
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Zhejiang University
  • University of Science and Technology Beijing

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Efficient and accurate predication of mechanical properties is the key to controlling the production process. In this paper, a novel Prediction Interval (PI) based method is proposed for forecasting strip steel properties. It specifically consists of a Lower Upper Bound Estimation (LUBE) technique for PI generation based on Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and a Coverage Width Symmetry-based Criterion (CWSC) for PI evaluation. To evaluate the proposed method, computational experiments are carried out on two numerical datasets and two real-world datasets from a strip steel production process. A comparison between the results obtained by this work and previous work shows that the proposed method is viable and achieves more advantages. Moreover, the PI constructed on the real-world datasets achieve better quality, demonstrating that the proposed method has good potential in real-world problems.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationAdvances in Computational Intelligence Systems - Contributions Presented at the 19th UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, 2019
EditorsZhaojie Ju, Dalin Zhou, Alexander Gegov, Longzhi Yang, Chenguang Yang
PublisherSpringer Verlag
Pages223-234
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9783030299323
DOIs
StatePublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes
Event19th Annual UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, UKCI 2019 - Portsmouth, United Kingdom
Duration: 4 Sep 20196 Sep 2019

Publication series

NameAdvances in Intelligent Systems and Computing
Volume1043
ISSN (Print)2194-5357
ISSN (Electronic)2194-5365

Conference

Conference19th Annual UK Workshop on Computational Intelligence, UKCI 2019
Country/TerritoryUnited Kingdom
CityPortsmouth
Period4/09/196/09/19

Keywords

  • Mechanical property forecasting
  • Neural Network
  • Prediction Interval

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