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How will diffusion of PV solar contribute to China's emissions-peaking and climate responses?

  • Hong Bo Duan
  • , Gu Peng Zhang
  • , Lei Zhu
  • , Ying Fan*
  • , Shou Yang Wang
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • CAS - Institutes of Science and Development

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology is widely regarded as a significant and sustainable renewable energy option to fight against climate change.Accordingly, it is important to explore the potential of greenhouse gases (GHGs) mitigation and temperature benefits by substituting PV-generated power for coal-fired electricity. This necessity becomes particularly clear given that China hascommitted itself to a carbon emissions peak around 2030. Based on an integrated energy-economy-environmental model and a simple climate response model, we reach the following conclusions: (1) By restraining the cumulative GHGs emissions space within 255 GtCO2eqtill 2050, PV solar promises to dominate GHGs mitigation, with the highest contribution reaching 64.67%. (2) Under the moderate emissions-control case, China will achieve its emissions peak target, with solar energy substitution relieving the nation's dependence on coal. (3) The highest radiative forcing and temperature benefits yieldedthrough replacing coal-generated power with solar power is around 20% and 11.05%, respectively. (4) Finally, it is not too costly to gain such benefits: at most, the accumulated economic cost would be 102.14 trillion Yuanuntil 2050, accounting for less than 3% of the accumulated GDP.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1076-1085
Number of pages10
JournalRenewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Volume53
DOIs
StatePublished - 1 Jan 2016
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 7 - Affordable and Clean Energy
    SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy
  2. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • Climate responses
  • Integrated system model
  • Lifecycle emissions reduction
  • PV solar

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