How to forecast daily carbon emissions during public health emergencies: A novel self-attention multi-neuron time series model

  • Yilong Wang
  • , Haoran Wang
  • , Junjie Chen
  • , Yigang Wei
  • , Yan Li*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Affected by numerous uncertainties, climate change is a critical issue linked to carbon emissions that warm the planet. Although scholars have conducted detailed research on carbon emissions and established predictive models for them, there are few models specifically designed for predicting carbon emissions during public health emergencies. With the concentrated outbreak of various uncertain factors, organizations and institutions urgently need a model capable of predicting carbon emissions during public health emergencies. This study introduces a novel self-attention multi-neuron time series (SAMNTS) model to evaluate the previously unexplored impact of public health emergencies on carbon emissions. Specifically, we have designed a more comprehensive deep learning prediction framework that can effectively utilize a large amount of relevant data to conduct detailed reasoning and analysis on the issue of carbon emissions, enabling more accurate predictions of daily carbon emissions. To better test its effectiveness, we used COVID-19 as an example to test the model. The results proved that the model can effectively make predictions and analyze various factors that affect carbon emissions.

Original languageEnglish
Article number102502
JournalAtmospheric Pollution Research
Volume16
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Jun 2025

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
  2. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • COVID-19 vaccination
  • Carbon emissions
  • Self-attention multi-neuron time series (SAMNTS) model

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'How to forecast daily carbon emissions during public health emergencies: A novel self-attention multi-neuron time series model'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this