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How does economic policy uncertainty react to oil price shocks? A multi-scale perspective

  • Xiuwen Chen
  • , Xiaolei Sun*
  • , Jianping Li
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • CAS - Institutes of Science and Development
  • University of Chinese Academy of Sciences

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This paper provides evidence for the impact of oil price shocks on economic policy uncertainty (EPU) from a multi-scale perspective using discrete wavelet transform and VAR model. Results indicate that oil price shocks impose a positive effect on EPU at an original level while effects of oil price shocks on EPU are time-varying over different time-scales. Particularly, oil price shocks lead to a positive change in the trend of EPU in the short- and long-term. Whereas, in the medium term, the negative effect of oil price shocks on EPU is identified.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)188-193
Number of pages6
JournalApplied Economics Letters
Volume27
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 6 Feb 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • economic policy uncertainty
  • impulse response function
  • Oil price shocks
  • wavelet transform

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