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Fuzzy multi-state fault tree analysis based on fuzzy expert system

  • Yi Ren*
  • , Leixing Kong
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beihang University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

With the development of large-scale, intelligent and complex systems, the conventional fault tree analysis method is incapable of analyzing the fault tree model of systems with vague data and multi-state. As a solution, this paper proposes a new approach of fuzzy multi-state fault tree analysis method based on a fuzzy expert system. Fuzzy theory is applied to representing the degree of fault tree basic events working, and a fuzzy expert system relying on experts' experience in engineering practice is designed to process the rare information, which is suitable for analyzing fault tree models of complex systems. Eventually, a given example illustrates the process of constructing a fuzzy expert system, and achieving the probability of the fault tree top event. This method describes an opinion of analyzing the fuzzy multi-state fault tree, which is suitable for the safety and risk analysis of a new system in preliminary design phase.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationICRMS'2011 - Safety First, Reliability Primary
Subtitle of host publicationProceedings of 2011 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety
Pages920-925
Number of pages6
DOIs
StatePublished - 2011
Event2011 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety: Safety First, Reliability Primary, ICRMS'2011 - Guiyang, China
Duration: 12 Jun 201115 Jun 2011

Publication series

NameICRMS'2011 - Safety First, Reliability Primary: Proceedings of 2011 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety

Conference

Conference2011 9th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability and Safety: Safety First, Reliability Primary, ICRMS'2011
Country/TerritoryChina
CityGuiyang
Period12/06/1115/06/11

Keywords

  • fuzzy expert system
  • fuzzy inference
  • fuzzy multi-state fault tree
  • fuzzy theory

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