Effect doses for protection of human health predicted from physicochemical properties of metals/metalloids

Effect doses (EDs) of metals/metalloids, usually obtained from toxicological experiments are required for developing environmental quality criteria/standards for use in assessment of hazard or risks. However, because in vivo tests are time-consuming, costly and sometimes impossible to conduct, among more than 60 metals/metalloids, there are sufficient data for development of EDs for only approximately 25 metals/metalloids. Hence, it was deemed a challenge to derive EDs for additional metals by use of alternative methods. This study found significant relationships between EDs and physicochemical parameters for twenty-five metals/metalloids. Elements were divided into three classes and then three individual empirical models were developed based on the most relevant parameters for each class. These parameters included log-βn, ΔE₀ and X_m²r, respectively (R² = 0.988, 0.839, 0.871, P < 0.01). Those models can satisfactorily predict EDs for another 25 metals/metalloids. Here, these alternative models for deriving thresholds of toxicity that could be used to perform preliminarily, screen-level health assessments for metals are presented. The findings provide an alternative method for deriving thresholds of toxicity to protect human health and would support the establishment of water quality standards and risk assessment for metals/metalloids.