Abstract
This paper provides a novel investigation into how currency excess returns react to terrorist attacks. We construct a terrorism risk factor and demonstrate that it significantly matters to excess returns of both carry trade and individual currencies. Furthermore, we form a currency portfolio by simply buying terrorism-sensitive currencies and selling less terrorism-sensitive currencies, which yields economically positive and statistically significant returns. It has shown that this newly proposed terrorism risk factor could provide a marginal improvement for exchange rate pricing facing terrorist attacks.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 103087 |
| Journal | Finance Research Letters |
| Volume | 49 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - Oct 2022 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
Keywords
- Carry trade
- Excess returns
- FX markets
- Terrorist attacks
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