Default risk model for municipal bonds based on implied distribution and option evaluation

  • Liyan Han*
  • , Zhebin Yang
  • , Chengli Zheng
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

It is the key issue of the feasibility research for municipal bonds to determine the safe issue-volume according to a given credit-risk level. With the reference to KMV model, this paper develops a option-based credit risk model for municipal bonds, in which the concept of the implied distribution and its algorithm is introduced. Moreover, it concludes the correspondence between the issue-volume and the default risk given the certain amount of the fiscal revenue used as the collateral.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)207-211
Number of pages5
JournalYingyong Jichu yu Gongcheng Kexue Xuebao/Journal of Basic Science and Engineering
Issue numberSUPPL.
StatePublished - Dec 2004

Keywords

  • Credit risk
  • Implied distribution
  • Issue-volume
  • Municipal bond

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