Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion

Gengjiao Yang; Yuanjun Laili; Lin Zhang; Xiaolin Hu

doi:10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion

Gengjiao Yang
, Yuanjun Laili
, Lin Zhang^*
, Xiaolin Hu

^*Corresponding author for this work

School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

The credibility evaluation of models has attracted extensive attention in Modeling and Simulation (M&S). With increasingly complex models, multiple domain experts are required to jointly assess the credibility of a model. Group analytic hierarchy process (GAHP) is a method by many experts to make decision. In GAHP, the preference aggregation of group members is a critical procedure. However, the impact of expert number and indicator priority order on the evaluation results has not been well considered in previous preference aggregation procedure yet. In this paper, we first propose a novel preference aggregation procedure, priority probability conversion (PPC), to enhance the effectiveness of GAHP, named PPC-GAHP. Then, we introduce a commonly used evaluation criteria for such procedures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to elucidate the details of the proposed procedure and is compared with other aggregation procedures in GAHP to further demonstrate its validity.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings
Editors	Lin Zhang, Xiao Song, Yunjie Wu
Publisher	Springer Verlag
Pages	508-515
Number of pages	8
ISBN (Print)	9789811026713
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52
State	Published - 2016
Event	16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016 - Beijing, China Duration: 8 Oct 2016 → 11 Oct 2016

Publication series

Name	Communications in Computer and Information Science
Volume	646
ISSN (Print)	1865-0929

Conference

Conference	16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016
Country/Territory	China
City	Beijing
Period	8/10/16 → 11/10/16

Keywords

Group analytic hierarchy process
Model credibility evaluation
Preference aggregation

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10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

Cite this

Yang, G., Laili, Y., Zhang, L., & Hu, X. (2016). Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion. In L. Zhang, X. Song, & Y. Wu (Eds.), Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings (pp. 508-515). (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 646). Springer Verlag. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

Yang, Gengjiao ; Laili, Yuanjun ; Zhang, Lin et al. / Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion. Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings. editor / Lin Zhang ; Xiao Song ; Yunjie Wu. Springer Verlag, 2016. pp. 508-515 (Communications in Computer and Information Science).

@inproceedings{130617cda1424dfcb088331a3e9a1b0e,

title = "Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion",

abstract = "The credibility evaluation of models has attracted extensive attention in Modeling and Simulation (M\&S). With increasingly complex models, multiple domain experts are required to jointly assess the credibility of a model. Group analytic hierarchy process (GAHP) is a method by many experts to make decision. In GAHP, the preference aggregation of group members is a critical procedure. However, the impact of expert number and indicator priority order on the evaluation results has not been well considered in previous preference aggregation procedure yet. In this paper, we first propose a novel preference aggregation procedure, priority probability conversion (PPC), to enhance the effectiveness of GAHP, named PPC-GAHP. Then, we introduce a commonly used evaluation criteria for such procedures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to elucidate the details of the proposed procedure and is compared with other aggregation procedures in GAHP to further demonstrate its validity.",

keywords = "Group analytic hierarchy process, Model credibility evaluation, Preference aggregation",

author = "Gengjiao Yang and Yuanjun Laili and Lin Zhang and Xiaolin Hu",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} Springer Science+Business Media Singapore 2016.; 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016 ; Conference date: 08-10-2016 Through 11-10-2016",

year = "2016",

doi = "10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0\_52",

language = "英语",

isbn = "9789811026713",

series = "Communications in Computer and Information Science",

publisher = "Springer Verlag",

pages = "508--515",

editor = "Lin Zhang and Xiao Song and Yunjie Wu",

booktitle = "Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings",

address = "德国",

}

Yang, G, Laili, Y , Zhang, L & Hu, X 2016, Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion. in L Zhang, X Song & Y Wu (eds), Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol. 646, Springer Verlag, pp. 508-515, 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Beijing, China, 8/10/16. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion. / Yang, Gengjiao; Laili, Yuanjun ; Zhang, Lin et al.
Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings. ed. / Lin Zhang; Xiao Song; Yunjie Wu. Springer Verlag, 2016. p. 508-515 (Communications in Computer and Information Science; Vol. 646).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution › peer-review

TY - GEN

T1 - Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion

AU - Yang, Gengjiao

AU - Laili, Yuanjun

AU - Zhang, Lin

AU - Hu, Xiaolin

N1 - Publisher Copyright: © Springer Science+Business Media Singapore 2016.

PY - 2016

Y1 - 2016

N2 - The credibility evaluation of models has attracted extensive attention in Modeling and Simulation (M&S). With increasingly complex models, multiple domain experts are required to jointly assess the credibility of a model. Group analytic hierarchy process (GAHP) is a method by many experts to make decision. In GAHP, the preference aggregation of group members is a critical procedure. However, the impact of expert number and indicator priority order on the evaluation results has not been well considered in previous preference aggregation procedure yet. In this paper, we first propose a novel preference aggregation procedure, priority probability conversion (PPC), to enhance the effectiveness of GAHP, named PPC-GAHP. Then, we introduce a commonly used evaluation criteria for such procedures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to elucidate the details of the proposed procedure and is compared with other aggregation procedures in GAHP to further demonstrate its validity.

AB - The credibility evaluation of models has attracted extensive attention in Modeling and Simulation (M&S). With increasingly complex models, multiple domain experts are required to jointly assess the credibility of a model. Group analytic hierarchy process (GAHP) is a method by many experts to make decision. In GAHP, the preference aggregation of group members is a critical procedure. However, the impact of expert number and indicator priority order on the evaluation results has not been well considered in previous preference aggregation procedure yet. In this paper, we first propose a novel preference aggregation procedure, priority probability conversion (PPC), to enhance the effectiveness of GAHP, named PPC-GAHP. Then, we introduce a commonly used evaluation criteria for such procedures. Finally, a numerical example is provided to elucidate the details of the proposed procedure and is compared with other aggregation procedures in GAHP to further demonstrate its validity.

KW - Group analytic hierarchy process

KW - Model credibility evaluation

KW - Preference aggregation

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84988851076

U2 - 10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

DO - 10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

M3 - 会议稿件

AN - SCOPUS:84988851076

SN - 9789811026713

T3 - Communications in Computer and Information Science

SP - 508

EP - 515

BT - Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings

A2 - Zhang, Lin

A2 - Song, Xiao

A2 - Wu, Yunjie

PB - Springer Verlag

T2 - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016

Y2 - 8 October 2016 through 11 October 2016

ER -

Yang G, Laili Y , Zhang L, Hu X. Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion. In Zhang L, Song X, Wu Y, editors, Theory, Methodology, Tools and Applications for Modeling and Simulation of Complex Systems - 16th Asia Simulation Conference and SCS Autumn Simulation Multi-Conference, AsiaSim/SCS AutumnSim 2016, Proceedings. Springer Verlag. 2016. p. 508-515. (Communications in Computer and Information Science). doi: 10.1007/978-981-10-2672-0_52

Credibility evaluation of simulation models using group analytic hierarchy process based on priority probability conversion

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