TY - GEN
T1 - Continuous Diffusive Prediction Network for Multi-Station Weather Prediction
AU - Xu, Chujie
AU - Ma, Yuqing
AU - Deng, Haoyuan
AU - Gao, Yajun
AU - Wang, Yudie
AU - Lv, Kai
AU - Liu, Xianglong
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence. All rights reserved.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - Multi-station weather prediction provides weather forecasts for specific geographical locations, playing an important role in various aspects of daily life. Existing methods consider the relationships between individual stations discretely, making it difficult to model the continuous spatiotemporal processes of atmospheric motion, which results in suboptimal prediction outcomes. This paper proposes the Continuous Diffusive Prediction Network (CDPNet) to model the real-world continuous weather change process from discrete station observation data. CDPNet consists of two core modules: the Continuous Calibrated Initialization (CCI) and the Diffusive Difference Estimation (DDE). The CCI module interpolates data between observation stations to construct a spatially continuous physical field and ensures temporal continuity by integrating directional information from a global perspective. It accurately represents the current physical state and provides a foundation for future weather prediction. Moreover, the DDE module explicitly captures the spatial diffusion process and estimates the diffusive differences between consecutive time steps, effectively modeling spatio-temporally continuous atmospheric motion. Likewise, directional information on weather changes is introduced from the entire historical series to mitigate estimation uncertainty and improve the performance of weather prediction. Extensive experiments on the Weather2K and Global Wind/Temp datasets demonstrate that CDPNet outperforms state-of-the-art models.
AB - Multi-station weather prediction provides weather forecasts for specific geographical locations, playing an important role in various aspects of daily life. Existing methods consider the relationships between individual stations discretely, making it difficult to model the continuous spatiotemporal processes of atmospheric motion, which results in suboptimal prediction outcomes. This paper proposes the Continuous Diffusive Prediction Network (CDPNet) to model the real-world continuous weather change process from discrete station observation data. CDPNet consists of two core modules: the Continuous Calibrated Initialization (CCI) and the Diffusive Difference Estimation (DDE). The CCI module interpolates data between observation stations to construct a spatially continuous physical field and ensures temporal continuity by integrating directional information from a global perspective. It accurately represents the current physical state and provides a foundation for future weather prediction. Moreover, the DDE module explicitly captures the spatial diffusion process and estimates the diffusive differences between consecutive time steps, effectively modeling spatio-temporally continuous atmospheric motion. Likewise, directional information on weather changes is introduced from the entire historical series to mitigate estimation uncertainty and improve the performance of weather prediction. Extensive experiments on the Weather2K and Global Wind/Temp datasets demonstrate that CDPNet outperforms state-of-the-art models.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105021842553
U2 - 10.24963/ijcai.2025/747
DO - 10.24963/ijcai.2025/747
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:105021842553
T3 - IJCAI International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
SP - 6714
EP - 6722
BT - Proceedings of the 34th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2025
A2 - Kwok, James
PB - International Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence
T2 - 34th Internationa Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2025
Y2 - 16 August 2025 through 22 August 2025
ER -