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Continuous Diffusive Prediction Network for Multi-Station Weather Prediction

  • Chujie Xu
  • , Yuqing Ma*
  • , Haoyuan Deng
  • , Yajun Gao
  • , Yudie Wang
  • , Kai Lv
  • , Xianglong Liu
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Beihang University
  • Beijing Jiaotong University

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Multi-station weather prediction provides weather forecasts for specific geographical locations, playing an important role in various aspects of daily life. Existing methods consider the relationships between individual stations discretely, making it difficult to model the continuous spatiotemporal processes of atmospheric motion, which results in suboptimal prediction outcomes. This paper proposes the Continuous Diffusive Prediction Network (CDPNet) to model the real-world continuous weather change process from discrete station observation data. CDPNet consists of two core modules: the Continuous Calibrated Initialization (CCI) and the Diffusive Difference Estimation (DDE). The CCI module interpolates data between observation stations to construct a spatially continuous physical field and ensures temporal continuity by integrating directional information from a global perspective. It accurately represents the current physical state and provides a foundation for future weather prediction. Moreover, the DDE module explicitly captures the spatial diffusion process and estimates the diffusive differences between consecutive time steps, effectively modeling spatio-temporally continuous atmospheric motion. Likewise, directional information on weather changes is introduced from the entire historical series to mitigate estimation uncertainty and improve the performance of weather prediction. Extensive experiments on the Weather2K and Global Wind/Temp datasets demonstrate that CDPNet outperforms state-of-the-art models.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 34th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2025
EditorsJames Kwok
PublisherInternational Joint Conferences on Artificial Intelligence
Pages6714-6722
Number of pages9
ISBN (Electronic)9781956792065
DOIs
StatePublished - 2025
Event34th Internationa Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2025 - Montreal, Canada
Duration: 16 Aug 202522 Aug 2025

Publication series

NameIJCAI International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
ISSN (Print)1045-0823

Conference

Conference34th Internationa Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2025
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityMontreal
Period16/08/2522/08/25

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