TY - GEN
T1 - Combination prediction for short-term traffic flow based on artificial neural network
AU - Jiansheng, Liu
AU - Hui, Fu
AU - Xinxing, Liao
PY - 2006
Y1 - 2006
N2 - As the basis of urban traffic control and guidance, the prediction for short-term traffic flow is constrained by its dynamic properties. To build an optimum model and enhance the predicting accuracy of the traffic flow, a combination prediction algorithm based on neural network is proposed. According to the algorithm, the first Lyapunov exponent and recurrence plot are used to analyze the forecasting property of a traffic flow, and a set of predicting models are determined corresponding to the analysis. The predicted results of the traffic flow are obtained by a nonlinear combination model based on a neural network. Both simulated and real detected traffic volume are used to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm.
AB - As the basis of urban traffic control and guidance, the prediction for short-term traffic flow is constrained by its dynamic properties. To build an optimum model and enhance the predicting accuracy of the traffic flow, a combination prediction algorithm based on neural network is proposed. According to the algorithm, the first Lyapunov exponent and recurrence plot are used to analyze the forecasting property of a traffic flow, and a set of predicting models are determined corresponding to the analysis. The predicted results of the traffic flow are obtained by a nonlinear combination model based on a neural network. Both simulated and real detected traffic volume are used to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm.
KW - Artificial neural network
KW - Combinatorial prediction
KW - Short-term traffic flow
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/34047225293
U2 - 10.1109/WCICA.2006.1713671
DO - 10.1109/WCICA.2006.1713671
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:34047225293
SN - 1424403324
SN - 9781424403325
T3 - Proceedings of the World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation (WCICA)
SP - 8659
EP - 8663
BT - Proceedings of the World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation (WCICA)
T2 - 6th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, WCICA 2006
Y2 - 21 June 2006 through 23 June 2006
ER -