Combination prediction for short-term traffic flow based on artificial neural network

  • Liu Jiansheng*
  • , Fu Hui
  • , Liao Xinxing
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

As the basis of urban traffic control and guidance, the prediction for short-term traffic flow is constrained by its dynamic properties. To build an optimum model and enhance the predicting accuracy of the traffic flow, a combination prediction algorithm based on neural network is proposed. According to the algorithm, the first Lyapunov exponent and recurrence plot are used to analyze the forecasting property of a traffic flow, and a set of predicting models are determined corresponding to the analysis. The predicted results of the traffic flow are obtained by a nonlinear combination model based on a neural network. Both simulated and real detected traffic volume are used to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation (WCICA)
Pages8659-8663
Number of pages5
DOIs
StatePublished - 2006
Externally publishedYes
Event6th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, WCICA 2006 - Dalian, China
Duration: 21 Jun 200623 Jun 2006

Publication series

NameProceedings of the World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation (WCICA)
Volume2

Conference

Conference6th World Congress on Intelligent Control and Automation, WCICA 2006
Country/TerritoryChina
CityDalian
Period21/06/0623/06/06

Keywords

  • Artificial neural network
  • Combinatorial prediction
  • Short-term traffic flow

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