TY - GEN
T1 - Agent-based simulation on real stock market
AU - Yang, Haijun
AU - Li, Xin
PY - 2010
Y1 - 2010
N2 - This paper tries to present a more suitable computer simulated stock market model according to the statistics of real stock data. As the real stock market change violently due to the financial crisis, we divide the real market into the one before financial crisis and the one after it. Time series are analyzed from the standpoint of well-known empirical features in real markets as benchmark. Firstly, some modifications are done to make agents more "real" according to the statistics of real stock data before financial crisis, the modifications including agents with different learning speeds, strategy-sizes, utility functions. Secondly, when the best modified model before financial crisis failed to replicate the statistics feature of the real market after financial crisis, we make further research to find out the best simulate model after financial crisis. Finally, the best simulated model after financial crisis is able to replicate several of the real market phenomenon, including first-order autocorrelation, Kurtosis, standard deviation of yield series and the first-order autocorrelation of yield square.
AB - This paper tries to present a more suitable computer simulated stock market model according to the statistics of real stock data. As the real stock market change violently due to the financial crisis, we divide the real market into the one before financial crisis and the one after it. Time series are analyzed from the standpoint of well-known empirical features in real markets as benchmark. Firstly, some modifications are done to make agents more "real" according to the statistics of real stock data before financial crisis, the modifications including agents with different learning speeds, strategy-sizes, utility functions. Secondly, when the best modified model before financial crisis failed to replicate the statistics feature of the real market after financial crisis, we make further research to find out the best simulate model after financial crisis. Finally, the best simulated model after financial crisis is able to replicate several of the real market phenomenon, including first-order autocorrelation, Kurtosis, standard deviation of yield series and the first-order autocorrelation of yield square.
KW - Agent-based model
KW - Agents
KW - Artificial stock market
KW - Genetic algorithm
KW - Real stock market
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/78649399037
U2 - 10.1109/ICMSS.2010.5576443
DO - 10.1109/ICMSS.2010.5576443
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:78649399037
SN - 9781424453269
T3 - 2010 International Conference on Management and Service Science, MASS 2010
BT - 2010 International Conference on Management and Service Science, MASS 2010
T2 - 2010 International Conference on Management and Service Science, MASS 2010
Y2 - 24 August 2010 through 26 August 2010
ER -