A Scenario-Based Optimization Approach to Robust Estimation of Airport Capacity

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Estimation of airport capacity plays a fundamental role in planning air traffic flow around the airport. Due to the impact of various dynamic factors on practical airport operation, e.g., the varying meteorological condition and changing fleet mix, airport capacity is characterized by uncertainties. The robustness of the existing iconic estimation approaches is challenged. This paper proposes a scenario-based optimization approach to robust estimation of airport capacity in the presence of the operational uncertainties. The capacity envelope identified through empirical analysis is associated with some probabilistic level and the estimation problem is then formulated as a chance-constrained optimization program approximately solved via scenario approach. Case study using real data set collected from Beijing Capital International Airport shows that the capacity envelope obtained by the proposed approach is more robust than two iconic approaches, i.e., proportion-based filtration approach and the quantile regression approach.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 2015 IEEE 18th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2015
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages2066-2071
Number of pages6
ISBN (Electronic)9781467365956, 9781467365956, 9781467365956, 9781467365956
DOIs
StatePublished - 30 Oct 2015
Event18th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2015 - Gran Canaria, Spain
Duration: 15 Sep 201518 Sep 2015

Publication series

NameIEEE Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Proceedings, ITSC
Volume2015-October
ISSN (Print)2153-0009
ISSN (Electronic)2153-0017

Conference

Conference18th IEEE International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, ITSC 2015
Country/TerritorySpain
CityGran Canaria
Period15/09/1518/09/15

Keywords

  • Airport capacity robust estimation
  • Airport operational uncertainty
  • Chance-constrained optimization
  • Scenario approach

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