A Cumulative Perceived Value-Based Dynamic User Equilibrium Model Considering the Travelers' Risk Evaluation on Arrival Time

This paper presents a cumulative perceived value-based dynamic user equilibrium model by applying the prospect theory to formulate the travelers' risk evaluation on arrival time. The network uncertainty caused by link exit capacity degradation is incorporated into the analysis. The model which considers departure time and route choices simultaneously is expressed by a variational inequality in a discrete time space. Numerical results show that the travelers' risk preference indeed has big influence on flow distribution. Our study constitutes a deepening of cognition in developing more realistic dynamic traffic assignment technologies.