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A comparative assessment of ensemble learning for credit scoring

  • Gang Wang*
  • , Jinxing Hao
  • , Jian Ma
  • , Hongbing Jiang
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Hefei University of Technology
  • City University of Hong Kong

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Both statistical techniques and Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have been explored for credit scoring, an important finance activity. Although there are no consistent conclusions on which ones are better, recent studies suggest combining multiple classifiers, i.e., ensemble learning, may have a better performance. In this study, we conduct a comparative assessment of the performance of three popular ensemble methods, i.e., Bagging, Boosting, and Stacking, based on four base learners, i.e., Logistic Regression Analysis (LRA), Decision Tree (DT), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Experimental results reveal that the three ensemble methods can substantially improve individual base learners. In particular, Bagging performs better than Boosting across all credit datasets. Stacking and Bagging DT in our experiments, get the best performance in terms of average accuracy, type I error and type II error.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)223-230
Number of pages8
JournalExpert Systems with Applications
Volume38
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2011

Keywords

  • Bagging
  • Boosting
  • Credit scoring
  • Ensemble learning
  • Stacking

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