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A Calendar Life Assessment of Airborne Products Considering Epistemic and Aleatory Uncertainty

  • Beihang University
  • Norwegian University of Science and Technology

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Aiming at providing more accurate information for the first restoration, overhaul and maintenance of airborne products, this paper gives a calendar life assessment method for airborne products considering epistemic and aleatory uncertainty on the basis of investigation and analysis for the factors which affect the uncertainty of calendar life assessment. The uncertainty of calendar life is modeled as two types: epistemic uncertainty and aleatory uncertainty. a aleatory uncertainty model of calendar life based on interval analysis and blind number theory is given with parameter sensitivity analysis. Considering the designer's problem of incomplete cognition of failure mechanism, a measurement method of epistemic uncertainty is given based on the concept of confidence reliability.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings - 12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages383-389
Number of pages7
ISBN (Electronic)9781538670767
DOIs
StatePublished - 2 Jul 2018
Event12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018 - Shanghai, China
Duration: 17 Oct 201819 Oct 2018

Publication series

NameProceedings - 12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018

Conference

Conference12th International Conference on Reliability, Maintainability, and Safety, ICRMS 2018
Country/TerritoryChina
CityShanghai
Period17/10/1819/10/18

Keywords

  • aleatory uncertainty
  • calendar life
  • epistemic uncertainty

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