颠覆性技术早期识别方法及其在氢能源领域的应用

[Purpose/Significance] As the core driving force of industrial revolution, disruptive technologies can rapidly overturn the development trajectory of existing technologies. Identifying the application of disruptive technologies to the field of hydrogen energy is of great significance for improving the country’s hydrogen energy technology strength and promoting the development of clean energy. [Method/Process] Based on multi-source heterogeneous data, the paper constructed an early identification model of disruptive technologies from four dimensions: novelty, foresight, feasibility, and high attention. The study calculated the indicator weights and comprehensive evaluation scores of technologies by Entropy-TOPSIS method and adopted an empirical study in the field of hydrogen energy. [Result/Conclusion] The study indicates that solar decomposition water hydrogen production technology, hydrogen adsorption storage technology, and proton exchange membrane fuel cells are the most disruptive technologies in the field of hydrogen energy.